Modena U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
TOR
9%
19%
71%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
MOD
76%
17%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 5
FIO
6%
14%
80%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
MOD
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
SPE
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 0
SPE
33%
23%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 3
SPE
24%
22%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |