Modena U19 vs Siena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 0
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 2
EMP
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAG
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 0
MOD
79%
15%
7%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 0
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SIE
0 - 1
LIV
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
SIE
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
SIE
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
0 - 1
EMP
48%
26%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 1
SIE
55%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |