U17 National Championship Italy Round 19

Modena U17 vs Spezia U17 analysis

Modena U17 Spezia U17
26 ELO 25
-6.8% Tilt 0.9%
10512º General ELO ranking 9776º
367º Country ELO ranking 354º
ELO win probability
50.2%
Modena U17
22%
Draw
27.9%
Spezia U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
Modena U17
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.9%
Win probability
Spezia U17
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Modena U17
+186%
-36%
Spezia U17

ELO progression

Modena U17
Spezia U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Modena U17
Modena U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2016
SAS
Sassuolo U17
0 - 5
Modena U17
MOD
60%
20%
20%
25 28 3 0
07 Feb. 2016
MOD
Modena U17
1 - 0
Fiorentina U17
FIO
24%
22%
54%
23 33 10 +2
31 Jan. 2016
SMP
Sampdoria U17
2 - 1
Modena U17
MOD
65%
19%
17%
24 29 5 -1
17 Jan. 2016
MOD
Modena U17
2 - 0
Torino U17
TOR
16%
20%
64%
20 35 15 +4
10 Jan. 2016
LIV
Livorno U17
1 - 1
Modena U17
MOD
25%
22%
54%
21 16 5 -1

Matches

Spezia U17
Spezia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2016
SPE
Spezia U17
3 - 0
Pro Vercelli U17
PVE
63%
19%
18%
25 21 4 0
07 Feb. 2016
NOV
Novara U17
0 - 1
Spezia U17
SPE
50%
22%
29%
24 24 0 +1
31 Jan. 2016
SPE
Spezia U17
3 - 0
Genoa U17
GEN
17%
20%
64%
20 35 15 +4
17 Jan. 2016
JUV
Juventus U17
7 - 1
Spezia U17
SPE
85%
11%
5%
20 42 22 0
10 Jan. 2016
SPE
Spezia U17
0 - 0
Empoli U17
EMP
35%
23%
42%
20 25 5 0