Modena U17 vs Cesena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
58.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
10º
8º
39
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 2
MOD
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOD
3 - 1
SPE
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
MOD
73%
15%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
20%
20%
59%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 6
CES
13%
17%
71%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CES
1 - 7
JUV
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |