Modena U17 vs Cesena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
57.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
10º
8º
39
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 2
MOD
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOD
3 - 1
SPE
29%
21%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
32%
22%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
22%
21%
58%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 6
CES
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CES
1 - 7
JUV
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
42%
23%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |