Modena vs Virtus Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LEG
0 - 1
MOD
20%
27%
54%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 0
FAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
0 - 1
MOD
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 0
VIR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 2
FCS
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 2
VIR
75%
18%
8%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAR
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |