Modena vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
REG
4 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
PAD
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 0
PAD
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EMP
1 - 1
TRI
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 0
PES
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
ABN
34%
27%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |