Modena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 0
MOD
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 3
MOD
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 4
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
SAL
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 3
BOL
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |