Modena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
24.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
57%
27%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOD
55%
29%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
SPA
47%
29%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
REG
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |