Modena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
ROM
17%
26%
58%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
15%
26%
59%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 1
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 2
REG
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAM
3 - 2
PRG
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 0
SAM
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ANC
0 - 1
SAM
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SAM
2 - 2
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |