Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
MOD
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 1
TOR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
47%
29%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 2
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
UDI
1 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
REG
2 - 2
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
47%
29%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
REG
1 - 2
INT
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |