Modena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 4
TRA
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAG
19%
27%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
PRG
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 2
ASC
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
PRG
38%
30%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 1
SAL
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |