Modena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
SIR
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 3
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
MOD
5 - 0
USC
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 3
MOD
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
SER
81%
11%
8%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
LIV
56%
20%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
SIR
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 1
MES
75%
15%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 1
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |