Modena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
27.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
57%
27%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOD
55%
29%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
LAZ
0 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BAR
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
USF
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
27%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 1
LAZ
41%
32%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CES
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |