Modena vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 1
MOD
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
VNZ
0 - 4
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
MOD
1 - 2
JUV
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
INT
5 - 1
TRI
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |