Modena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
MOD
3 - 0
VIC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATP
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
SIR
2 - 0
MOD
56%
23%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAL
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAT
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
VER
0 - 2
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 1
GEN
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |