Modena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
TER
2 - 0
MOD
72%
20%
9%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAL
37%
32%
31%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CAT
1 - 0
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
73%
19%
8%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
CAT
0 - 0
BRI
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
63%
25%
12%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
33%
32%
36%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |