Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
MOD
4 - 1
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
FAN
0 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAD
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 0
COM
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAD
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAD
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |