Modena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
53.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 1
MOD
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAG
19%
26%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
CAG
0 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
CAG
26%
27%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
0 - 1
NOV
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |