Serie B Round 10

Modena vs Spezia analysis

Modena Spezia
69 ELO 74
-10.9% Tilt -3.2%
470º General ELO ranking 184º
35º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Modena
28.9%
Draw
36.7%
Spezia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
Modena
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.7%
Win probability
Spezia
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Modena
-3%
+2%
Spezia

ELO progression

Modena
Spezia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2015
LIV
Livorno
2 - 0
Modena
MOD
55%
24%
22%
70 70 0 0
17 Oct. 2015
MOD
Modena
2 - 1
Ascoli
ASC
58%
25%
18%
69 59 10 +1
11 Oct. 2015
MOD
Modena
0 - 2
Latina
LAT
50%
28%
22%
70 68 2 -1
03 Oct. 2015
BRE
Brescia
2 - 2
Modena
MOD
45%
26%
29%
70 67 3 0
26 Sep. 2015
MOD
Modena
1 - 0
Virtus Lanciano
VIR
48%
28%
25%
69 67 2 +1

Matches

Spezia
Spezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2015
SPE
Spezia
1 - 1
Avellino
AVE
55%
25%
21%
74 70 4 0
19 Oct. 2015
CES
Cesena
5 - 1
Spezia
SPE
46%
27%
27%
75 74 1 -1
11 Oct. 2015
SPE
Spezia
1 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
66%
21%
13%
75 65 10 0
03 Oct. 2015
VIR
Virtus Lanciano
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
30%
29%
41%
75 67 8 0
26 Sep. 2015
LIV
Livorno
1 - 2
Spezia
SPE
51%
25%
25%
74 72 2 +1