Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACD
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEO
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASC
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIV
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |