Moca vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 1
MOC
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
MOC
1 - 0
JAR
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 1
MOC
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MOC
1 - 2
DEP
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
MOC
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 0
RFC
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 2
AVR
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 0
JAR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
AVR
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
CFC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |