Moca vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SCR
1 - 1
MOC
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MOC
1 - 0
JAR
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 5
MOC
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
MOC
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
MOC
1 - 0
ASF
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 1
AVR
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
AVR
2 - 3
ASF
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
AVR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 2
DEP
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AVR
3 - 2
RFC
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |