Moca vs Etoile Matoury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 0
MOC
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
MOC
0 - 0
CFC
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOC
1 - 0
RFC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
MOC
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MOC
1 - 2
UNI
36%
28%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Matoury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
THL
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AOM
0 - 3
ETO
11%
14%
75%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RHO
4 - 1
ETO
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
ETO
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 2
LOC
69%
16%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |