MOC '17 vs Marvilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MOC '17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
MOC
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOC
2 - 2
MOE
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOP
3 - 1
MOC
42%
21%
37%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GOE
2 - 2
MOC
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MOC
2 - 2
BEE
35%
23%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marvilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SVM
0 - 3
NEM
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SVM
0 - 4
BAR
12%
16%
73%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOE
0 - 0
SVM
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BEE
1 - 0
SVM
76%
14%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SVM
0 - 4
HVC
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |