Poland Fourth Division Group 1 Round 28

Mławianka Mława vs Jagiellonia II analysis

Mławianka Mława Jagiellonia II
48 ELO 49
20.5% Tilt 13.5%
5532º General ELO ranking 4828º
120º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Mławianka Mława
21.2%
Draw
23.3%
Jagiellonia II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
Mławianka Mława
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.3%
Win probability
Jagiellonia II
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mławianka Mława
-7%
-4%
Jagiellonia II

ELO progression

Mławianka Mława
Jagiellonia II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mławianka Mława
Mławianka Mława
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2025
MVS
Victoria Sulejówek
2 - 2
Mławianka Mława
MLA
33%
24%
43%
49 44 5 0
19 Apr. 2025
MLA
Mławianka Mława
3 - 0
Wisła Płock II
WPI
59%
20%
21%
48 44 4 +1
12 Apr. 2025
SWI
Swit Nowy Dwor
1 - 1
Mławianka Mława
MLA
46%
23%
32%
48 48 0 0
05 Apr. 2025
MLA
Mławianka Mława
3 - 0
Pelikan Lowicz
PEL
65%
19%
16%
47 41 6 +1
29 Mar. 2025
STO
Stomil Olsztyn
0 - 1
Mławianka Mława
MLA
55%
22%
22%
46 56 10 +1

Matches

Jagiellonia II
Jagiellonia II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2025
JAG
Jagiellonia II
0 - 1
Wikielec
WIK
49%
24%
27%
49 49 0 0
18 Apr. 2025
BRA
Broń Radom
2 - 3
Jagiellonia II
JAG
45%
25%
30%
48 49 1 +1
13 Apr. 2025
JAG
Jagiellonia II
1 - 1
Warta Sieradz
WSI
44%
24%
32%
48 50 2 0
05 Apr. 2025
LTM
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
3 - 1
Jagiellonia II
JAG
45%
24%
31%
49 48 1 -1
29 Mar. 2025
JAG
Jagiellonia II
0 - 4
Unia Skierniewice
USK
22%
23%
55%
49 60 11 0