Segunda Croacia 2. HNL Round 4

Mladost Ždralovi vs Marsonia analysis

Mladost Ždralovi Marsonia
51 ELO 42
-9.8% Tilt -2.8%
2882º General ELO ranking 6248º
17º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Mladost Ždralovi
21.7%
Draw
14%
Marsonia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
Mladost Ždralovi
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14%
Win probability
Marsonia
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mladost Ždralovi
-7%
-23%
Marsonia

Points and table prediction

Mladost Ždralovi
Their league position
Marsonia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
11º
36
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
NK Sesvete
65
65
100%
Zrinski Osječko
63
63
100%
NK Jadran LP
60
60
100%
Mladost Ždralovi
50
50
100%
Bjelovar
46
46
100%
NK Opatija
45
45
100%
NK Dugo Selo
45
45
100%
Hrvace
38
38
100%
Belisce
37
37
100%
Jadran
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Marsonia
11º
36
36
11º
100%
Grobničan
12º
35
35
12º
100%
NK Trnje
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Zagorec
14º
34
34
14º
100%
NK Osijek II
15º
25
25
15º
100%
16º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mladost Ždralovi
Marsonia
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mladost Ždralovi
Marsonia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mladost Ždralovi
Mladost Ždralovi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
JAD
NK Jadran LP
2 - 1
Mladost Ždralovi
MZL
32%
25%
43%
51 46 5 0
31 Aug. 2022
VIR
Virovitica
0 - 6
Mladost Ždralovi
MZL
10%
18%
72%
51 22 29 0
27 Aug. 2022
MZL
Mladost Ždralovi
2 - 0
13%
24%
63%
49 75 26 +2
19 Aug. 2022
ZRI
Zrinski Osječko
0 - 0
Mladost Ždralovi
MZL
24%
25%
50%
49 41 8 0
16 Jul. 2022
MZL
Mladost Ždralovi
5 - 1
NK Dugo Selo
DUG
56%
24%
20%
49 41 8 0

Matches

Marsonia
Marsonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
MAR
Marsonia
0 - 2
NK Sesvete
NKR
15%
23%
62%
43 57 14 0
31 Aug. 2022
BIJ
Bijelo Brdo
5 - 1
Marsonia
MAR
70%
19%
12%
44 54 10 -1
27 Aug. 2022
BEL
Belisce
2 - 0
Marsonia
MAR
56%
23%
21%
45 47 2 -1
20 Aug. 2022
MAR
Marsonia
1 - 1
NK Opatija
OPA
26%
26%
49%
45 50 5 0
23 Jul. 2022
MAR
Marsonia
2 - 3
HNK Cibalia
HNK
12%
20%
67%
45 59 14 0