Premier League Round 5

Maxline Vitebsk vs FK Smorgon analysis

Maxline Vitebsk FK Smorgon
77 ELO 64
12.5% Tilt 19%
884º General ELO ranking 2337º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Maxline Vitebsk
18.6%
Draw
11.7%
FK Smorgon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
Maxline Vitebsk
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.7%
Win probability
FK Smorgon
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maxline Vitebsk
+28%
-14%
FK Smorgon

Points and table prediction

Maxline Vitebsk
Their league position
FK Smorgon
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
9
14º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Maxline Vitebsk
45
67
90%
Slavia Mozyr
35
54
29.5%
Dinamo Brest
31
52
21.5%
Dinamo Minsk
32
51
12%
Torpedo Zhodino
29
50
17.5%
Neman Grodno
28
48
11.5%
Isloch
28
47
16.5%
Minsk
27
45
13.5%
Vitebsk
21
40
17%
Gomel
11º
18
39
10º
20.5%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
10º
19
38
11º
23%
BATE Borisov
12º
16
37
12º
24.5%
Naftan Novopolotsk
13º
14
29
13º
34%
Slutsk
14º
12
27
14º
38%
FK Smorgon
15º
9
22
15º
47.5%
Molodechno
16º
4
17
16º
74%
Expected probabilities
Maxline Vitebsk
FK Smorgon
Champions League qualifying phase
90% 0%
Conference League knock out round
7% 0%
Mid-table
3% 13.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 21.5%
Relegation
0% 65%

ELO progression

Maxline Vitebsk
FK Smorgon
Naftan Novopolotsk
Dinamo Brest
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maxline Vitebsk
Maxline Vitebsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2025
TOR
Torpedo Zhodino
0 - 0
Maxline Vitebsk
MKK
36%
24%
40%
77 77 0 0
12 Apr. 2025
NAF
Naftan Novopolotsk
0 - 3
Maxline Vitebsk
MKK
23%
24%
53%
77 68 9 0
04 Apr. 2025
DIN
Dinamo Brest
0 - 2
Maxline Vitebsk
MKK
44%
24%
32%
77 77 0 0
29 Mar. 2025
MKK
Maxline Vitebsk
2 - 2
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
FKA
58%
23%
19%
77 73 4 0
16 Mar. 2025
FKS
Slutsk
0 - 1
Maxline Vitebsk
MKK
27%
25%
47%
77 73 4 0

Matches

FK Smorgon
FK Smorgon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
DIN
Dinamo Brest
2 - 0
FK Smorgon
FCS
69%
19%
12%
65 77 12 0
06 Apr. 2025
FKA
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1 - 1
FK Smorgon
FCS
59%
23%
18%
65 73 8 0
29 Mar. 2025
FKS
Slutsk
2 - 0
FK Smorgon
FCS
52%
26%
22%
65 73 8 0
22 Mar. 2025
OFC
Ostrovets
0 - 1
FK Smorgon
FCS
22%
21%
57%
65 53 12 0
16 Mar. 2025
DNM
Dinamo Minsk
1 - 0
FK Smorgon
FCS
62%
22%
16%
65 77 12 0