Maxline Vitebsk vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
1º
9
14º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 67 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 48 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 37 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
90% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maxline Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 0
MKK
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
NAF
0 - 3
MKK
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
DIN
0 - 2
MKK
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MKK
2 - 2
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FKS
0 - 1
MKK
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DIN
2 - 0
FCS
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FKS
2 - 0
FCS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
OFC
0 - 1
FCS
25%
21%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DNM
1 - 0
FCS
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |