Mjølner vs Finnsnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MJO
2 - 0
LOR
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOI
0 - 1
MJO
32%
24%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
MJO
1 - 0
STA
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 2
MJO
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MJO
3 - 2
SKE
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Finnsnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
KVI
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 1
FIN
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 2
OST
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIN
0 - 7
MOI
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +18 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
MJO
11 - 1
FIN
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |