Mixto vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+196%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
URO
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
MIX
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 1
SOR
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MGR
0 - 4
MIX
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 0
RON
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
LUV
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
LUV
54%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CUI
2 - 0
LUV
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |