Mixto vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 3
URO
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
DBO
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AAC
0 - 0
MIX
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 3
LUV
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 3
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 1
MUR
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CSA
3 - 0
JAC
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
DSA
1 - 0
CSA
7%
15%
78%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |