Mixto vs CRAC MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
MIX
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
MIX
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 1
MIX
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MIX
1 - 2
PAR
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 2
OPE
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
MGR
0 - 1
CRA
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
2 - 2
OPE
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 1
SIN
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LUV
1 - 0
CRA
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CRA
2 - 1
MIX
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +3 |