Mixto vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
76.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
OPE
0 - 3
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
JAC
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CUI
1 - 0
MIX
76%
17%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
CSA
9%
19%
72%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 3
URO
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
MET
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
ULC
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |