Mixco vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MIX
2 - 1
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
4 - 1
MIX
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MIX
2 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MIX
1 - 1
CAR
16%
23%
61%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
QUI
4 - 0
SAC
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
QUI
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 0
CON
22%
25%
52%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
QUI
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
QUI
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |