Mixco vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 0
MIX
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
3 - 0
SAY
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
ZAC
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
MIX
46%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
COB
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COB
2 - 1
QUI
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 1
SAC
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
QUI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |