Mixco vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
MIX
1 - 0
CHI
19%
27%
54%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
SLC
2 - 0
MIX
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
DSA
0 - 3
MIX
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MIX
1 - 0
SIQ
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MIX
1 - 1
ANT
15%
26%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
ZAC
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
CON
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
SAC
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |