Mixco vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
MUN
7%
17%
77%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 0
ACH
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 1
AUR
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
PAL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
COB
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |