Mixco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAC
0 - 0
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 3
MIX
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
SAY
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
MIX
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 2
MIX
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 1
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 3
MIX
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ANT
3 - 0
ACH
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 1
ZAC
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 0
ACH
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |