Mixco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAY
2 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MIX
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 3
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COB
4 - 2
MIX
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MIX
3 - 4
SAC
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 0
GUA
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
COB
2 - 0
ACH
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ACH
3 - 0
SAC
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 2
ACH
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ACH
4 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |