Misto vs Novoperário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
MIS
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
IVI
3 - 1
MIS
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MIS
4 - 2
IVI
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +4 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 2
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 2
MIS
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novoperário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
COM
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NOV
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
NAV
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |