Mistelbach vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 2
GAF
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 0
MIS
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
MIS
54%
23%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 4
WUR
20%
22%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
MIS
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWE
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
SCH
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 0
BAD
16%
23%
62%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 2
STP
14%
21%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
5 - 1
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |