Mistelbach vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 3
ZWE
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
MIS
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 0
ARD
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
MIS
26%
24%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 2
SPR
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
WUR
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 2
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
LEO
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAD
4 - 1
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |