Mirassol FC vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 3
MIR
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
MIR
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |