Mirassol vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
BAT
1 - 1
MIR
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 2
RIO
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MIR
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
BAT
2 - 2
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 2
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |