Série D Brazil Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 5-2
Mirassol vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAX
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
MIR
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 0
MIR
19%
27%
53%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 0
CAB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 4
MIR
17%
26%
58%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
BRA
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRA
22%
29%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
GAM
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |