New Zealand National League Central. Jor. 4

Miramar vs Stop Out analysis

Miramar Stop Out
37 ELO 16
24.3% Tilt 19.5%
9481º General ELO ranking 13724º
21º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
93.8%
Miramar
4.6%
Draw
1.7%
Stop Out

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
Miramar
4.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.9%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.5%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.6%
1.7%
Win probability
Stop Out
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Miramar
+16%
-47%
Stop Out

Points and table prediction

Miramar
Their league position
Stop Out
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
21
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wellington Olympic
40
46
100%
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
31
37
100%
Napier City Rovers
30
33
100%
Petone
29
32
100%
Western Suburbs
28
28
100%
Waterside Karori
18
24
0%
Miramar
21
24
0%
Stop Out
21
24
0%
North Wellington AFC
7
7
100%
Whanganui Athletic
10º
5
5
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Miramar
Stop Out
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Miramar
Stop Out
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Miramar
Miramar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2023
NAP
Napier City Rovers
1 - 2
Miramar
MIR
23%
19%
58%
37 27 10 0
01 Apr. 2023
MIR
Miramar
3 - 0
North Wellington AFC
NWA
92%
5%
2%
37 18 19 0
25 Mar. 2023
WEL
Wellington Olympic
3 - 1
Miramar
MIR
72%
17%
12%
38 49 11 -1
27 Nov. 2022
MIR
Miramar
1 - 4
Wellington Olympic
WEL
27%
21%
53%
40 49 9 -2
20 Nov. 2022
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 1
Miramar
MIR
77%
14%
9%
41 58 17 -1

Matches

Stop Out
Stop Out
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
WKA
Waterside Karori
2 - 3
Stop Out
STO
81%
12%
8%
16 26 10 0
02 Apr. 2023
WSU
Western Suburbs
3 - 3
Stop Out
STO
80%
12%
8%
16 24 8 0
25 Mar. 2023
STO
Stop Out
1 - 3
Napier City Rovers
NAP
13%
15%
72%
16 29 13 0
14 May. 2022
WUF
Wellington United
3 - 1
Stop Out
STO
55%
21%
24%
17 20 3 -1
19 Jun. 2021
WKA
Waterside Karori
3 - 2
Stop Out
STO
62%
19%
19%
17 23 6 0
X