Minneapolis City vs Aris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.3%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.3%
4-0
13.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.9%
1.2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minneapolis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VSL
1 - 5
MIN
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 1
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MIN
5 - 0
DAK
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 2
MEC
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SFT
2 - 2
MIN
7%
13%
81%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
3 - 6
MIN
4%
10%
86%
|
6 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VSL
5 - 0
ARI
93%
6%
2%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 3
DAK
5%
11%
85%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 7
DUL
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
MEC
5 - 1
ARI
93%
5%
1%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |