Minerva FC vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
MIN
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
RIN
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
MIN
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 3
NOJ
40%
24%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
MIN
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
ARE
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
VEL
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATL
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LRI
0 - 5
VEL
28%
21%
52%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
3 - 1
RIB
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |