Segunda Categoría - Ecuador . Last 16
Global 3-4
Mineros vs Insutec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
INS
1 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CUP
0 - 0
MIN
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 0
CUP
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 0
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 0
MIN
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Insutec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
INS
1 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SSR
0 - 0
INS
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
INS
2 - 0
SSR
24%
30%
47%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CCJ
0 - 3
INS
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
CCJ
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |