Segunda Categoría - Ecuador . Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Mineros vs San Antonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 0
DLE
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DLE
1 - 1
MIN
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
5 - 2
ECS
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 1
MIN
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CDU
1 - 2
ESA
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
CDU
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
3 - 0
SRA
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SRA
0 - 3
ESA
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |