Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 2
ZAC
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CAÑ
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TEP
0 - 1
ZAC
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ZAC
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 1
AUR
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 2
ZAC
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 1
LOB
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOB
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 3
LOB
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOB
3 - 1
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |